Defining
Screening Criteria
To be more effective, the screening criteria should be
set up to confirm that the selected companies are likely to realistically meet
your objectives. A properly defined set of criteria statements will describe
the characteristics of the companies you seek.
Set primary and secondary
criteria to provide the most effective screening process.
Primary
Objective
The primary screen defines what you are looking for
and comprises the most important characteristic of your search (for example,
growth). This helps focus your search. Determine what items describe the type
of company you want. Refer to the Data Item tables in the Appendix for ideas.
Try to avoid combining
criteria that negate each other. As an example, a search for fast growing
companies should not include high yielding criteria. This is because companies
that grow quickly generally pay little or no dividend. Such a search will
likely produce poor results.
Secondary
Validation
The secondary criteria statements should validate your
primary search and help confirm that your primary objective is reasonable.
Often companies will have exceptional achievements that may be misleading. The
secondary criteria should substantiate that company achievements are
sustainable.
Also use this approach when considering a secondary,
less important objective along with your primary objective.
Here are a couple of examples
to help clarify this idea. These are meant to show the thinking process for
building criteria statements. Try this when devising your own search ideas.
Growth
Example
Here the objective is to search for companies with
growth characteristics for revenue and EPS.
Hist 5Yr Rev Gr > .15
Hist 5Yr EPS Gr > .15
The above statements look for companies that have
revenue and EPS growth greater than 15%. The 5-year period is used because it
focuses on the more recent information.
To ensure that the growth is 'legitimate' i.e. rather
than irregular and uncertain, use the following statement to measure the
consistency of year after year growth:
EPS R2 5yr > .95
To determine that the company is capable of achieving
future growth, include the following statement that indicates the 'internal
growth' potential:
Implied Gr > .1
Such implied growth identifies companies whose
re-invested earnings can grow at least by 10%.
Lastly, include a statement to suggest that the
company's management can continue to achieve the results you expect:
PTI Rating > 4
This says that the pre-tax income on sales (also
called profitability) rates higher than 4 out of 7.
In summary, the first two
items identify companies that have shown growth over the past 5 years. The
last 3 statements confirm that the growth is consistent and that the company
achieved the results through its good management.
Safety
Example
This safety example focuses on companies that can
deliver income (through dividends). The first two items identify primary
criteria for the dividend.
Cur Div Yield >.05
Div Gr > .1
The example says first to look for companies whose
dividend yield is more than 5%. Then specify that the dividend is growing
faster than 10%.
To ensure that these results are achievable, include
confirming criteria to substantiate these primary objectives. The secondary
validations could be:
Hist 5Yr EPS Gr > .1
EPS R2 5yr > .9
Div Payout < .6
Here you ensure that dividend
growth is achievable by testing for EPS growth greater than 10% (this should
support the dividend growth of 10%). Validate the growth by defining the
consistency of the EPS growth using EPS R Squared greater than 90%. Finally,
test that the payout rate of earnings is low enough (less than 60% in this
example) not to jeopardize the payment of future dividends.
Defining
a Report
The report you define should follow your search
objective. Select report items that describe the type of company you are
looking for.
Include only items that you know and understand. The
best report is the simplest one that tells 'the story' for the company.
The advanced user may want to include more items in a
report than a beginning user. This will be a benefit when differentiating
companies using weights (see below).
Additionally, reports should include items that
'describe' the company. Some of these include company symbol, trading
exchange, current price, latest quarterly EPS and revenue growth figures.
Generally, items that are
ratios provide a better comparison between companies than simple items like
price, PE, sales, etc. However, the simple items do give information about the
company. A balance of each type of item makes a good report.
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